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PREDICTED ARRIVAL TIME(PTA) SOLUTION

Which port the ships at sea (mainly referring to merchant ships) go to and when they will arrive, is a troubling question. 

ETA forecasts are most important for designation of port operation plans, meeting the need for logistics visualization by shippers, or concerning of futures investors on the number of arrivals of bulk cargoes.

TYPE

function

description

query criteria

Return value

container PTA

ship schedule

Inquire about the ship's navigation plan (or voyage cycle, Attachment rule)

 

Ship name, IMO No

or

Port of origin and port of destination

Ship information, company, list of ports of call, planned time of arrival at each port

PTA

Query the time when the specified ship arrives at the specified port

(estimated)

 IMO, port of destination

Scheduled time of arrival of the ship at the port (schedule planning time, AIS planning time, prediction time by PTA algorithm)

bulk cargo PTA

Dry bulk PTA

vessels international routes with deadweight tons more than 3000 tonsestimated port of destination and time of arrival of the designated vessel n the high probability

Ship name, IMO

Possible destinations (ports), probability of arrival at the port,  estimated time of arrival at the port(AIS planning time, prediction time by PTA algorithm)

Liquid bulk PTA

vessels international routes with deadweight tons more than 3000 tons,estimated port of destination and time of arrival of the designated vessel n the high probability

Ship name, IMO

Possible destinations (ports),probability of arrival at the port, estimated time of arrival at the port(AIS planning time, prediction time by PTA algorithm)

 

Based on the AIS datas of 2019, we created a Yantian-Rotterdam AEU5 segmented route model. As shown, it started from Yantian port, passed through Tanjung pelpas, Suez Canal, and finally arrived at Rotterdam port.

 

Route parameter estimation:

üThrough the statistics of global container liner data, the parameter estimation of 95% confidence interval is formed;
üForm the route speed estimation, as shown in the table. Similarly, the ship route speed estimation and port berthing time estimation are formed.